Thursday, February 26, 2015

You're over 1.5 times more likely to be struck by lightning in your lifetime than that an Australian Muslim is likely to be a terrorist

Something I posted on Facebook at that I thought was worth repeating:
The chance of being struck by lightning during your lifetime is more than 1.5 times as likely as the chance that a Muslim in Australia is a terrorist, and this statistic unfairly exaggerates the chance that a Muslim in Australia is a terrorist. Your more likely to be murdered if you live in the USA than for a Muslim in Australia to be a terrorist.
Here's how I got those numbers:
Number of Muslims in Australia at the last census in 2011: 476,300 <www.abs.gov.au>. Number of people convicted of terrorism offences 2001 to 2013: 26 <http://www.google.com.au/url…> p.1. Chance of a Muslim in Australia being a terrorist, 1 in 18,319, however like I mentioned this is an unfairly high number because not all those convicted of terrorism offences were Muslims and you would have to compare it to the total number of people who are Muslim who were in Australia at any time from 2001 to 2013, a much higher number than the 476,300.
Chance of being struck by lightning if you live for 80 years in the USA: 1 in 12,000 <http://www.srh.noaa.gov/jetstr…/lightning/lightning_faq.htm…>. Chance of being murdered if you live in the USA: 1 in 18,000 <http://www.its.umn.edu/…/Traffi…/statistical-comparison.html>.
Blessings, Joe :-)